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Coronavirus COVID-19 Update for 4/7/2020


The coronavirus COVID-19 is affecting 209 countries and territories around the world and 2 international conveyances.


Confirmed USA cases:  400,412
Deaths:  12,854



 An influential model tracking the coronavirus pandemic in the United States now predicts that fewer people will die and fewer hospital beds will be needed compared to its estimates from last week.

As of Monday, the model predicted the virus will kill 81,766 people in the United States over the next four months, with just under 141,000 hospital beds being needed. That's about 12,000 fewer deaths -- and 121,000 fewer hospital beds -- than the model estimated on Thursday.

A "massive infusion of new data" led to the adjustments, according to the model's maker, Dr. Christopher Murray, who serves as director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine.



On Monday, April 6, 2020, 6,974 uniformed members of the NYPD were on the department's sick report which accounts for 19.3% of the uniformed workforce.

1,935 uniformed members and 293 civilian members of the NYPD have tested positive for the coronavirus.

The number of infected and sick has steadily climbed.  On March 27, 2020, 4,111 uniformed employees (11.4%) were on the sick report and 442 uniformed members had tested positive for the coronavirus.



The coronavirus is infecting and killing black people in the United States at disproportionately high rates, according to data released by several states and big cities, highlighting what public health researchers say are entrenched inequalities in resources, health and access to care.

The statistics are preliminary and much remains unknown because most cities and states are not reporting race as they provide numbers of confirmed cases and fatalities. Initial indications from a number of places, though, are alarming enough that policymakers say they must act immediately to stem potential devastation in black communities.
...
In Illinois, 43 percent of people who have died from the disease and 28 percent of those who have tested positive are African-Americans, a group that makes up just 15 percent of the state’s population. African-Americans, who account for a third of positive tests in Michigan, represent 40 percent of deaths in that state even though they make up 14 percent of the population. In Louisiana, about 70 percent of the people who have died are black, though only a third of that state’s population is.

Personal Note:
Since vitamin D can reduce respiratory infections is it possible that low levels of vitamin D is causing the rates of death above?

See:
Vitamin D and African Americans

Vitamin D insufficiency is more prevalent among African Americans (blacks) than other Americans and, in North America, most young, healthy blacks do not achieve optimal 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentrations at any time of year. This is primarily due to the fact that pigmentation reduces vitamin D production in the skin.

This video from doctor John Campbell in the U.K. believes that vitamin D may be a factor as well:
https://youtu.be/HoJkmJazNZQ?t=259


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